SCHEFTER DRAFT ANALYSIS (LAST 10 YEARS)
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Apr 1, 2024 6:24:33 GMT -5
Sawblade300, Strubbel94, and 4 more like this
Post by Adam Schefter on Apr 1, 2024 6:24:33 GMT -5
THE DRAFT OVER THE LAST TEN SEASONS.
HOW MANY PICKS HAVE YOU HAD AND WHERE?
THE FIRST CHART SHOWS THE NUMBER OF PICKS EACH TEAM HAS HAD IN THE TOP THREE ROUNDS OVER THE LAST TEN SEASONS.
THE YELLOW BAR ON THE FAR RIGHT IS THE TOTAL OF ALL FIRST, SECOND AND THIRD ROUND PICKS PER TEAM DURING THAT
PERIOD.
MY ANALYSIS OF THIS
IT'S JUST AMAZING HOW MANY PICKS MIKEY HAS COLLECTED IN THIS PERIOD. EACH TEAM IF THEY DON'T TRADE ANY SHOULD HAVE 30
PICKS OVER THE TEN YEAR SPAN, MIKEY HAS HAD 65, THAT'S 240% OF WHAT HE SHOULD HAVE DONE OR 6.5 PICKS IN THE TOP 96 EVERY
YEAR.
MY NEXT THOUGHT IS THAT THE 14 TEAMS WITH THE HIGHEST NUMBER OF PICKS HAVE NOT WON A BOWL IN THAT PERIOD. IN FACT
THOSE 14 TEAMS HAVE WON JUST JUST 18 DIVISIONAL TITLES OUT OF 80 POSSIBLE IN THAT TIME. IT SHOULD BE JUST BELOW 40 TITLES.
IF YOU TAKE THE TITANS AND RAIDERS OUT OF THE GROUP OF 14 THE DIVISIONAL TITLES DROP TO JUST 9 FROM A POSSIBLE 80.
I THINK THIS VERY CLEARLY SHOWS THAT YOU NEED TO TRADE TO WIN.
THESE NUMBERS ARE BACKED UP BY THE FACT THAT FIVE OF OUR REALLY DOMINATE TEAMS OVER THIS PERIOD ARE IN THE BOTTOM
TEN FOR PICKS. THE STEELERS, PACKERS, BENGALS, JETS AND COWBOYS. THEY'VE WON 25 DIVISIONAL TITLES IN THAT TIME, THAT'S 50%
OF WHATS POSSIBLE!!
BELOW IS THE SAME CHART ITS JUST SORTED BY NUMBER OF 1ST ROUND PICKS OVER THE LAST TEN YEAR PERIOD. AS YOU CAN
SEE IT TELLS THE SAME STORY, IT SEEMS YOU NEED TO TRADE TO WIN. ONE THING THOUGH I THINK YOU CAN SAY FOR MIKEY
IN PARTICULARLY PLUS THE LIKES OF CMAX ETC THEY HAVE ALOT OF FUN COME DRAFT TIME WITH ALL THOSE PICKS!
TEAMS HAVE NOT HAD A TOP TEN PICK IN TEN SEASONS
BEARS, COWBOYS, JETS & RAIDERS,
AND TEAMS WITH JUST ONE TOP 10 PICK IN THE TEN SEASONS
CHIEFS , COMMANDERS, FALCONS & PACKERS
WHAT POSITIONS GO WERE?
MY ANALYSIS OF THIS
AS EXPECTED IN THE TOP TEN WE LOVE TO PICK QUARTERBACKS, RUNNING BACKS AND WIDE RECIEVERS
I MUST ADMIT I WAS SLIGHTLY SURPRISED THE NUMBER OF RUNNING BACKS WAS ALMOST THE SAME AS
QUARTERBACKS BUT I GUESS THERE ARE ONLY SO MANY STUD QUARTERBACKS TO TAKE.
AFTER THE TOP 10 QUARTERBACKS REALLY DO DROP OFF SIGNIFICANTLY. ONLY 10 QUARTERBACKS WERE
TAKEN IN 220 PICKS AFTER THE TOP 10, I WONDER HOW MANY OF THOSE ARE REACHES? I BET FEW ARE
STARTERS?
THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN OFFENSIVE PLAYERS AND DEFENSIVE PLAYERS IN THE TOP 10 IS HUGE,
84 OFFENSIVE PLAYERS TO JUST 16 DEFENSIVE PLAYERS. THERE WERE MORE GUARDS TAKEN THAN
DEFENSIVE ENDS IN THAT SECTION AS WELL, AGAIN THAT SHOCKED ME!
I THINK ITS CLEAR IF YOU ARE A GM WHO GOES WITH BPA THEN THE VALUE IS PICKING UP THOSE
DEFENSIVE STUDS BETWEEN PICKS 11 AND 22 OR SO.
I MUST ADMIT I WAS SLIGHTLY SURPRISED THE NUMBER OF RUNNING BACKS WAS ALMOST THE SAME AS
QUARTERBACKS BUT I GUESS THERE ARE ONLY SO MANY STUD QUARTERBACKS TO TAKE.
AFTER THE TOP 10 QUARTERBACKS REALLY DO DROP OFF SIGNIFICANTLY. ONLY 10 QUARTERBACKS WERE
TAKEN IN 220 PICKS AFTER THE TOP 10, I WONDER HOW MANY OF THOSE ARE REACHES? I BET FEW ARE
STARTERS?
THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN OFFENSIVE PLAYERS AND DEFENSIVE PLAYERS IN THE TOP 10 IS HUGE,
84 OFFENSIVE PLAYERS TO JUST 16 DEFENSIVE PLAYERS. THERE WERE MORE GUARDS TAKEN THAN
DEFENSIVE ENDS IN THAT SECTION AS WELL, AGAIN THAT SHOCKED ME!
I THINK ITS CLEAR IF YOU ARE A GM WHO GOES WITH BPA THEN THE VALUE IS PICKING UP THOSE
DEFENSIVE STUDS BETWEEN PICKS 11 AND 22 OR SO.
LASTLY
MY ANALYSIS IS MY ANALYSIS IS DOES NOT MEAN ITS CORRECT 
I AM SURE MANY OF YOU
I AM SURE MANY OF YOUWILL SEE DIFFERENT THINGS IN THIS AND IT WOULD BE GREAT TO HEAR YOUR VIEWS
I AM GUESSING THERE MAY BE THE ODD MISTAKE!
I CAN BREAK DOWN ROUND TWO AND THREE AS WELL IF PEOPLE ARE INTERESTED,
