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Post by Adam Schefter on Apr 1, 2024 6:24:33 GMT -5
THE DRAFT OVER THE LAST TEN SEASONS.
HOW MANY PICKS HAVE YOU HAD AND WHERE?
THE FIRST CHART SHOWS THE NUMBER OF PICKS EACH TEAM HAS HAD IN THE TOP THREE ROUNDS OVER THE LAST TEN SEASONS. THE YELLOW BAR ON THE FAR RIGHT IS THE TOTAL OF ALL FIRST, SECOND AND THIRD ROUND PICKS PER TEAM DURING THAT
PERIOD.
MY ANALYSIS OF THIS IT'S JUST AMAZING HOW MANY PICKS MIKEY HAS COLLECTED IN THIS PERIOD. EACH TEAM IF THEY DON'T TRADE ANY SHOULD HAVE 30 PICKS OVER THE TEN YEAR SPAN, MIKEY HAS HAD 65, THAT'S 240% OF WHAT HE SHOULD HAVE DONE OR 6.5 PICKS IN THE TOP 96 EVERY YEAR.
MY NEXT THOUGHT IS THAT THE 14 TEAMS WITH THE HIGHEST NUMBER OF PICKS HAVE NOT WON A BOWL IN THAT PERIOD. IN FACT THOSE 14 TEAMS HAVE WON JUST JUST 18 DIVISIONAL TITLES OUT OF 80 POSSIBLE IN THAT TIME. IT SHOULD BE JUST BELOW 40 TITLES. IF YOU TAKE THE TITANS AND RAIDERS OUT OF THE GROUP OF 14 THE DIVISIONAL TITLES DROP TO JUST 9 FROM A POSSIBLE 80. I THINK THIS VERY CLEARLY SHOWS THAT YOU NEED TO TRADE TO WIN.
THESE NUMBERS ARE BACKED UP BY THE FACT THAT FIVE OF OUR REALLY DOMINATE TEAMS OVER THIS PERIOD ARE IN THE BOTTOM TEN FOR PICKS. THE STEELERS, PACKERS, BENGALS, JETS AND COWBOYS. THEY'VE WON 25 DIVISIONAL TITLES IN THAT TIME, THAT'S 50% OF WHATS POSSIBLE!!
BELOW IS THE SAME CHART ITS JUST SORTED BY NUMBER OF 1ST ROUND PICKS OVER THE LAST TEN YEAR PERIOD. AS YOU CAN SEE IT TELLS THE SAME STORY, IT SEEMS YOU NEED TO TRADE TO WIN. ONE THING THOUGH I THINK YOU CAN SAY FOR MIKEY IN PARTICULARLY PLUS THE LIKES OF CMAX ETC THEY HAVE ALOT OF FUN COME DRAFT TIME WITH ALL THOSE PICKS!
TEAMS HAVE NOT HAD A TOP TEN PICK IN TEN SEASONS BEARS, COWBOYS, JETS & RAIDERS,
AND TEAMS WITH JUST ONE TOP 10 PICK IN THE TEN SEASONS
CHIEFS , COMMANDERS, FALCONS & PACKERS
WHAT POSITIONS GO WERE?
MY ANALYSIS OF THIS
AS EXPECTED IN THE TOP TEN WE LOVE TO PICK QUARTERBACKS, RUNNING BACKS AND WIDE RECIEVERS I MUST ADMIT I WAS SLIGHTLY SURPRISED THE NUMBER OF RUNNING BACKS WAS ALMOST THE SAME AS QUARTERBACKS BUT I GUESS THERE ARE ONLY SO MANY STUD QUARTERBACKS TO TAKE.
AFTER THE TOP 10 QUARTERBACKS REALLY DO DROP OFF SIGNIFICANTLY. ONLY 10 QUARTERBACKS WERE TAKEN IN 220 PICKS AFTER THE TOP 10, I WONDER HOW MANY OF THOSE ARE REACHES? I BET FEW ARE STARTERS?
THE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN OFFENSIVE PLAYERS AND DEFENSIVE PLAYERS IN THE TOP 10 IS HUGE, 84 OFFENSIVE PLAYERS TO JUST 16 DEFENSIVE PLAYERS. THERE WERE MORE GUARDS TAKEN THAN DEFENSIVE ENDS IN THAT SECTION AS WELL, AGAIN THAT SHOCKED ME!
I THINK ITS CLEAR IF YOU ARE A GM WHO GOES WITH BPA THEN THE VALUE IS PICKING UP THOSE DEFENSIVE STUDS BETWEEN PICKS 11 AND 22 OR SO.
LASTLY MY ANALYSIS IS MY ANALYSIS IS DOES NOT MEAN ITS CORRECT I AM SURE MANY OF YOU WILL SEE DIFFERENT THINGS IN THIS AND IT WOULD BE GREAT TO HEAR YOUR VIEWS
I AM GUESSING THERE MAY BE THE ODD MISTAKE!
I CAN BREAK DOWN ROUND TWO AND THREE AS WELL IF PEOPLE ARE INTERESTED,
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Post by Adam Schefter on Apr 1, 2024 6:25:43 GMT -5
THIS SECTION WILL BREAK DOWN WHO HAS PICKED WHAT PLAYERS AND WHERE AND GM TRENDS! THIS IS QUITE A BIT OF WORK SO MAY TAKE A FEW DAYS
WHO PICKS WHAT POSITIONS IN THE 1ST ROUND
ROB AND JOEL ARE THE ONLY TWO GMS NOT TO PICK A
DEFENSIVE PLAYER IN THE 1ST ROUND IN THE LAST TEN YEARS.
CMAX (30%), THE GUYS IN MINNESOTA (40%), JULIO (43%) ZACH (50%)
AND BYLANTA (57%) SEEM TO BE THE GUYS WHO TAKE WR'S ALOT.
WHILE WACK IN INDY (38%) AND DAVE IN SF (30%) LIKE TAKING QBs.
JOEL IS THE ONLY GM TO TAKE A FB IN THE FIRST ROUND.
MIKEY HAS ONLY TAKEN ONE QB AND ONE WR IN 22 PICKS.
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Post by squirrel on Apr 1, 2024 6:55:51 GMT -5
Very cool. We don't get much in the draft...it's something I need to do a better job with
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Post by sweendawg72 on Apr 1, 2024 8:06:17 GMT -5
Great stuff!
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Post by mellman on Apr 1, 2024 9:03:30 GMT -5
Nice work Schefty, I had a brain fart and thought I'd forgotten I drafted a QB in rd1 but then realised it's not been 10 seasons yet. Nice analysis, appreciate the work!
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Post by landshark44 on Apr 1, 2024 11:07:07 GMT -5
nice analysis.. great read....
7 of our (8) 1st rd picks are still with us.. rb josh van pelt 1.20.2054 was released in the offseason and is a FA..
not as good in the 2nd round, 6 of 11 still on the team.....
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Post by clown on Apr 1, 2024 11:54:21 GMT -5
My 1.10 was a Trade up!
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Post by jeremy on Apr 1, 2024 12:02:39 GMT -5
Maybe its my browser but I am not seeing any charts...
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Post by bylanta on Apr 1, 2024 12:41:02 GMT -5
Maybe its my browser but I am not seeing any charts... It's April fools Jeremy. There are no charts, Simon is just taking the piss
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Post by Adam Schefter on Apr 1, 2024 13:25:43 GMT -5
Maybe its my browser but I am not seeing any charts... It's April fools Jeremy. There are no charts, Simon is just taking the piss I was waiting for someone to say something lol
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Post by jeremy on Apr 1, 2024 21:46:16 GMT -5
Maybe its my browser but I am not seeing any charts... It's April fools Jeremy. There are no charts, Simon is just taking the piss lol, my son got me today too. I came home from work and he told me there was water all over the basement floor when he went down there. (Recently we did have a little water.) I went down there to look and he put water bottles around the floor.
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Post by ManWithNoName on Apr 2, 2024 2:27:35 GMT -5
Great analysis, Schefter. I suspect we could be picking in the top 10 again sooner rather than later.
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